Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.108657 0.125700 0.144519 0.166841 0.192595 0.221383 0.256012
2025-11-30 0.082153 0.105089 0.133021 0.169537 0.216031 0.273286 0.349218
2025-12-07 0.065563 0.089951 0.121744 0.166219 0.226864 0.306742 0.420114
2025-12-14 0.054730 0.079508 0.113657 0.164145 0.236947 0.338247 0.490204
2025-12-21 0.047885 0.073101 0.109566 0.166125 0.251725 0.376626 0.573174
2025-12-28 0.043960 0.070151 0.109693 0.173708 0.274876 0.428884 0.681829
2026-01-04 0.040065 0.066579 0.108214 0.178312 0.293556 0.475916 0.787361
2026-01-11 0.036669 0.063268 0.106586 0.182211 0.311175 0.522692 0.897234
2026-01-18 0.033332 0.059569 0.103782 0.183637 0.324558 0.563568 1.001363
2026-01-25 0.029835 0.055122 0.099129 0.181203 0.330803 0.592690 1.087964
2026-02-01 0.026297 0.050146 0.092941 0.175226 0.329892 0.608913 1.152854
2026-02-08 0.024448 0.048042 0.091630 0.177906 0.344880 0.654832 1.276750
2026-02-15 0.022465 0.045494 0.089295 0.178546 0.356397 0.696105 1.397679
2026-02-22 0.020945 0.043674 0.088145 0.181355 0.372442 0.747696 1.544698
2026-03-01 0.018905 0.040549 0.084071 0.177808 0.375309 0.773677 1.642950
2026-03-08 0.017238 0.037995 0.080845 0.175589 0.380556 0.804779 1.754901
2026-03-15 0.016154 0.036553 0.079749 0.177707 0.395089 0.856336 1.915654
2026-03-22 0.015682 0.036397 0.081350 0.185817 0.423409 0.939775 2.154774
2026-03-29 0.014976 0.035625 0.081520 0.190740 0.445152 1.011117 2.374579
2026-04-05 0.014264 0.034758 0.081374 0.194910 0.465594 1.081567 2.599907
2026-04-12 0.013423 0.033483 0.080159 0.196435 0.480009 1.139746 2.802720
2026-04-19 0.012385 0.031612 0.077349 0.193832 0.484283 1.174789 2.953786
2026-04-26 0.011215 0.029274 0.073179 0.187440 0.478606 1.185625 3.046580